Does Severe Weather Hype Make People Under-react?

Sometimes they get it proper, sometimes they get it mistaken. But one factor is for certain: On the subject of media reporting of extreme weather events, the threat of a hurricane, twister or even a heck of a lot of snow just isn’t more likely to go unnoticed for lack of coverage. And with good purpose. In the 24 hours main as much as Hurricane Sandy’s devastating blast by New York and New Jersey, the Weather Channel brought in greater than 2.035 million viewers, not to mention a report 300 million web page views on its Web site. Howard Kurtz said of the Sandy coverage. Within the rankings game, whether or not a storm actually lives as much as the hype is mostly an afterthought. Ratings certainly: The Weather Channel’s 2.77 million viewers on the Saturday the storm was scheduled to hit land outpaced the numbers for Sandy, a way more brutal storm. In Katrina’s aftermath, politicians and metropolis and state officials are only too eager to comply with the freakout drumbeat.


After seeing what a failure to correctly reply to a weather risk did for the likes of George W. Bush, New Orleans mayor Ray Nagin, and former FEMA chief Michael Brown (“Heckuva job, Brownie!”) native leaders in all probability figure it is higher to go all in. But a couple of swings and misses by the hype machine could lull amateur storm watchers into a false sense of safety. Does extreme weather hype trigger individuals to beneath-react when a storm’s a brewing? Read on to search out out. But it’s not just the sheer amount of coverage of severe weather that feeds the hype machine. There’s also one thing about the way in which wherein these events are coated. It’s a elementary principle of journalism that velocity should not be traded for accuracy. Yet it seems that a few of the most intrepid of reporters are at occasions swept up within the fury of massive weather. For instance, take the widely reported, yet utterly false rumor that during the top of Sandy’s onslaught on Manhattan, the ground of the new York Stock Exchange was flooded with up to 3 feet (1 meter) of water.

That’s not to mention the best way during which potential weather events are described. Reporters, authorities officials and consultants who use phrases like “catastrophic,” “historic,” and “unprecedented” to explain a storm with out explaining simply what makes a specific weather system unique do nothing however water down the gravity of these words. But it’s not just hype that leads people to underestimate severe weather. There are different explanation why a few of us assume that all studies of oncoming storms are merely crying wolf. As Hurricane Katrina approached the Gulf Coast in August 2005, reporters swarmed to New Orleans, and Mississippi whereas officials warned residents of low-mendacity areas to run for it. Yet many selected experience out the storm. Yet the Sandy expertise — with many residents of the hardest-hit areas also choosing to wait out the storm in spite of “mandatory” evacuation calls — is a testament to the truth that at the very least some individuals might never imagine the hype related to severe weather. The primary is called “unrealistic optimism,” which, as its handle suggests, refers to an excellent glass half-full mentality.

Some people just do not think something severely bad can happen to them. Where the hype comes in is by inflicting what is known as “availability bias.” In different phrases, a person contemplating the risks of a sure event — an oncoming storm, maybe — could compare it to past related occasions. After a handful of overhyped weather patterns, people in the danger zones of an oncoming storm may start to assume that the Weather Channel is selling wolf tickets, so to speak. Whether it’s the subsequent Irene or one other Sandy, hype isn’t the one motive why some individuals could underestimate the following superstorm, nevertheless it actually would not assist. In case the last three pages have not satisfied you of the position of hype in severe weather preparation, perhaps this personal anecdote will do the trick. As a Brooklyner preparing for Irene to contact down in the large Apple last 12 months, like most of my neighbors, I kind of freaked out a bit bit.

It was hard to not, not merely due to the non-stop information coverage but in addition because of the boarded up storefronts and bodegas with lengthy traces and handwritten signs like “out of water” and “no extra flashlights.” So I stocked up on water, meals, D batteries and, after all, beer. Meanwhile, my roommate mocked the panic and ordered two giant pizzas. Then it occurred. And by “it” I mean “nothing.” When Sandy got here knocking more than a year later, I had relocated to Washington D.C. This time round, I kept walking previous the groceries and convenience shops and as a substitute ordered a big pie. What’s it Like in the attention of a Tornado? Ablow, Keith. “Why do not people evacuate when Sandy or one other main storm looms? Are they nuts?” Fox News. Jolis, Anne. “The Weather isn’t Getting Weirder.” The Wall Street Journal. Hiaasen, Carl. “On The Beach, Waiting For Frances.” (Nov. 18, 2012). Florida Sunshine Coast. Keene, Allison. “Hurricane Sandy Tv: CNN’s Hysteria, Weather Channel Cool, Al Roker Flaps within the Wind.” The Hollywood Reporter. Kurtz, Howard. “A Hurricane of Hype.” The Daily Beast. Kurtz, Howard. “Sandy, the Rare Storm that Lived Up to Media Hype.” CNN. Leslie, Kate. “Sandy provides Weather Channel a chance to Shine.” Palm Beach Post. Richwine, Lisa. “Weather Channel Leads Cable News Ratings with Hurricane Sandy Coverage.” Huffington Post. Rosenthal, Sandy. “Insistent Appeals to Evacuate Didn’t Warn That the Levees Could Break.” The Huffington Post. Sazalai, Georg. “Hurricane Sandy Brings Weather Channel Third-Highest Average Viewership Ever.” The Hollywood Reporter. Sunstein, Cass. “Worst-Case Scenarios: The issue of Neglect.” The brand new Republic. Wemple, Erik. “Hurricane Sandy: Five Tips for Avoiding Hype.” The Washington Post.